The Arkansas Razorbacks will try to win in Columbia, Mo., for the first time in program history when they close out the regular season against the Missouri Tigers on Friday at Faurot Field in the 2022 Battle Line Rivalry Rivalry game. The Razorbacks (6-5, 3-4 in SEC) are winless in five games against Missouri in Columbia. Arkansas’ last road win against the Tigers came in 1944, when the Razorbacks won, 7-6, in St. Louis. Missouri leads the series between the teams, 9-4. This season the Tigers (5-6, 2-5) are tied for last in the SEC East and enter Friday’s game needing to win to become bowl-eligible.
Kickoff is at 3:30 pm ET. The Razorbacks are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Arkansas vs. Missouri odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 55.5. Before locking in any Missouri vs. Arkansas picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.
Now the model has dialed in on Arkansas vs. Missouri and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college football picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for Missouri vs. Arkansas:
- Arkansas vs. Missouri spread: Razorbacks -3.5
- Arkansas vs. Missouri over/under: 55.5 points
- Arkansas vs. Missouri money line: Razorbacks -170, Tigers +143
- ARK: The Razorbacks rank eighth in the country in rushing yards per game (233.5)
- MIZ: The Tigers average 7.2 tackles for loss per game, which leads the conference
- Arkansas vs. Missouri picks: See picks here
- Arkansas vs. Missouri streaming: Paramount+
Featured Game | Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Why the Razorbacks can cover
Arkansas has a dynamic dual-threat quarterback in KJ Jefferson. The 6-foot-3, 242-pound junior has completed 165-of-244 passes (67.6%) for 2,149 yards and 20 touchdowns with just three interceptions while rushing for 472 yards and six scores in eight games. Despite missing two contests, Jefferson is one of two SEC quarterbacks with 20 passing touchdowns and five or more rushing scores this season.
In addition, Arkansas has the potential to get pressure when Missouri drops back to pass. Led by former Alabama linebacker Drew Sanders (who has a team-high 8.5 sacks), the Razorbacks lead the SEC and are tied for fourth nationally in sacks (37). That’s the most by an Arkansas team since 2010 (37 sacks in 13 games).
Why the Tigers can cover
Missouri appears to have a big edge on special teams with punt returner Luther Burden III facing Arkansas’ punt return defense. A 5-foot-11 freshman from St. Louis, Burden is tied for fifth in the country in punt return touchdowns (one) and is averaging 13.7 yards per return. He faces a Razorbacks special teams unit that ranks a woeful 124th in the nation in punt return defense (14.4 yards per return).
In addition, the Tigers have a playmaker in the defensive backfield in Kris Abrams-Draine. A 5-foot-11 junior from Mobile, Ala., Abrams-Draine ranks second in the FBS and 11th in the country in passes defended per game (1.3). Last week against New Mexico State he had two pass breakups and six tackles.
How to make Arkansas vs. Missouri picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 53 points. It also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60% of simulations. You can see the model’s Missouri vs. Arkansas pick only at SportsLine.
So who wins Arkansas vs. Missouri? And which side is covering almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Missouri vs. Arkansas spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,000 on top-rated picks over the past six years, and find out, and don’t forget to stream on Paramount+.